Bioenergy demand modelling tool

This sub-section of e-Tools provides forecasts of the production of district heat and power from different raw materials in the BSR countries based on different carbon price scenarios. Please select year of either district heat or power production forecast, i.e. year of 2030 or 2040, country of interest, and one of three carbon price scenarios, i.e. scenario of low, base (medium) or high carbon price. By specifying these parameters, users will be provided with a chart (see bottom area of this page) illustrating forecasted usage of different raw materials for the production of district heat or power.

For more information on here presented forecasts, including assumptions used for their development, please read “Report on market outlook and future viability of different bioenergy products and value chains in the BSR energy system”.


Production of district heat from different raw materials (TWh)


Carbon prices applied for different scenarios:

2030

Low 14 EUR/tonne
Base (medium) 37 EUR/tonne
High 59 EUR/tonne

2040

Low 32 EUR/tonne
Base (medium) 63 EUR/tonne
High 94 EUR/tonne
wdt_ID Year Country Carbon price scenario Carbon price Other biomass Chips Coal Heat pump and electric boiler Other Natural gas Sun
1 2030 Baltic Sea Region (9 countries) Low 14 EUR/tonne 28,00 70,00 148,00 73,00 73,00 22,00 16,00
2 2030 Baltic Sea Region (9 countries) Base (medium) 37 EUR/tonne 28,00 72,00 112,00 78,00 67,00 48,00 27,00
3 2030 Baltic Sea Region (9 countries) High 59 EUR/tonne 36,00 119,00 32,00 113,00 57,00 49,00 28,00
4 2030 Denmark Low 14 EUR/tonne 12,54 10,23 0,00 0,10 7,91 0,05 4,25
5 2030 Denmark Base (medium) 37 EUR/tonne 12,10 11,07 0,00 0,09 7,91 0,05 3,86
6 2030 Denmark High 59 EUR/tonne 9,16 14,10 0,00 0,08 7,90 0,03 3,65
7 2030 Estonia Low 14 EUR/tonne 0,00 0,48 0,00 3,54 1,21 0,02 0,00
8 2030 Estonia Base (medium) 37 EUR/tonne 0,00 0,56 0,00 3,59 1,07 0,02 0,00
9 2030 Estonia High 59 EUR/tonne 0,00 0,63 0,00 3,69 0,88 0,01 0,00
10 2030 Finland Low 14 EUR/tonne 11,11 23,59 0,00 21,03 22,26 0,26 0,00

Production of power from different raw materials (TWh)


Carbon prices applied for different scenarios:

2030

Low 14 EUR/tonne
Base (medium) 37 EUR/tonne
High 59 EUR/tonne

2040

Low 32 EUR/tonne
Base (medium) 63 EUR/tonne
High 94 EUR/tonne
wdt_ID Year Country Carbon price scenario Carbon price Other biomass Chips Coal Other Natural gas Nuclear Sun Water Wind
1 2030 Baltic Sea Region (9 countries) Low 14 EUR/tonne 7,00 21,00 284,00 26,00 36,00 105,00 159,00 259,00 272,00
2 2030 Baltic Sea Region (9 countries) Base (medium) 37 EUR/tonne 8,00 22,00 130,00 22,00 92,00 104,00 180,00 259,00 335,00
3 2030 Baltic Sea Region (9 countries) High 59 EUR/tonne 8,00 38,00 74,00 18,00 91,00 104,00 196,00 259,00 369,00
4 2030 Denmark Low 14 EUR/tonne 3,00 2,00 0,00 2,00 0,00 0,00 12,00 0,00 28,00
5 2030 Denmark Base (medium) 37 EUR/tonne 3,00 3,00 0,00 2,00 0,00 0,00 12,00 0,00 28,00
6 2030 Denmark High 59 EUR/tonne 2,00 4,00 0,00 2,00 0,00 0,00 12,00 0,00 28,00
7 2030 Estonia Low 14 EUR/tonne 0,00 0,00 0,00 4,00 0,00 0,00 2,00 0,00 1,00
8 2030 Estonia Base (medium) 37 EUR/tonne 0,00 0,00 0,00 3,00 0,00 0,00 2,00 0,00 1,00
9 2030 Estonia High 59 EUR/tonne 0,00 0,00 0,00 2,00 0,00 0,00 2,00 0,00 2,00
10 2030 Finland Low 14 EUR/tonne 3,00 8,00 0,00 9,00 0,00 39,00 0,00 18,00 7,00